Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.187740 0.207529 0.229302 0.255177 0.285274 0.319406 0.361368
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.151651 0.176842 0.206749 0.245397 0.294807 0.356988 0.443053
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.132818 0.160742 0.195730 0.243825 0.309950 0.400474 0.539175
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.118200 0.146975 0.184493 0.238547 0.317241 0.432648 0.625630
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.109821 0.139869 0.180473 0.241551 0.335409 0.482646 0.751914
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.099898 0.129443 0.170414 0.234046 0.335918 0.504364 0.835749
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.091025 0.119571 0.159988 0.224410 0.331109 0.515600 0.902616
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.083996 0.111694 0.151648 0.216854 0.328293 0.529294 0.978221
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.082999 0.112401 0.156017 0.229815 0.362267 0.617902 1.251955
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.084324 0.116585 0.166006 0.253232 0.419273 0.767999 1.762186
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.083258 0.116983 0.169967 0.266703 0.459987 0.896397 2.309832
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.079061 0.112153 0.164934 0.263297 0.465804 0.944584 2.633914
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.074074 0.106052 0.157806 0.256208 0.464903 0.981931 2.979864
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.068923 0.099422 0.149379 0.245957 0.455960 0.997531 3.268044
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.065677 0.095683 0.145615 0.244310 0.466289 1.071489 3.928781
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.062178 0.091288 0.140337 0.239006 0.467047 1.118002 4.527220
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.060223 0.089340 0.139227 0.242016 0.488692 1.240366 5.848239
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.056956 0.084966 0.133395 0.234491 0.482216 1.265625 6.548101
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.053656 0.080368 0.126855 0.224830 0.468621 1.261298 7.018901
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.050876 0.076533 0.121501 0.217254 0.459521 1.271712 7.695954
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.050912 0.077585 0.125336 0.230249 0.509752 1.542973 12.566066
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.052053 0.080650 0.133267 0.253728 0.597909 2.062056 28.468854
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.051907 0.081383 0.136701 0.267236 0.660500 2.534103 60.962565